Chapter 80

Risk Considerations

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Early warning systems carry their own risks requiring management:

False Positive Fatigue: Too many false alarms erode trust. Balance sensitivity with accuracy.

Overconfidence: Successful predictions breed dangerous certainty. Maintain humility about uncertainty.

Action Bias: Detecting signals doesn't always require immediate action. Sometimes watching and waiting is optimal.

Privacy Concerns: Information gathering must respect legal and ethical boundaries. Build systems that comply with regulations.