Understanding why early warning systems fail helps build better ones:
Signal Fixation Becoming obsessed with one signal type while missing others. Effective systems maintain signal diversity despite natural preferences.
Confirmation Bias Seeing only signals confirming existing beliefs. Good systems include mechanisms challenging assumptions.
Analysis Paralysis Perpetual monitoring without action triggers. Systems must include clear protocols for moving from warning to response.
Noise Addiction Mistaking activity for effectiveness. More signals don't always mean better warning—curation matters more than volume.
Response Rigidity Having only one response plan regardless of signal specifics. Flexible response protocols adapt to situation nuances.