Timeline navigation carries risks that require active management:
Timing Risk: Moving too early or late destroys value. Hedge by maintaining multiple small experiments rather than single large bets.
Phase Misidentification: Mistaking which phase you're in leads to inappropriate strategies. Verify phase indicators from multiple sources.
Resource Exhaustion: Burning resources in early phases leaves nothing for crucial acceleration period. Budget explicitly for each phase.
Competitive Convergence: Others studying timelines may move simultaneously. Differentiation matters more than timing alone.
Regulatory Backlash: Moving too aggressively during regulatory gaps can trigger crackdowns. Balance opportunity with sustainability.