Chapter 24

Scenario Planning for Three Futures

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Scenario A: Gradual Intelligence (Altman is conservative)

- AI develops steadily but predictably - 10-15 year adaptation period - Traditional careers evolve slowly

Your strategy: Steady skill building, focus on AI augmentation

Scenario B: Rapid Intelligence (Altman is right)

- AI achieves superintelligence by 2030 - 5-7 year transformation window - Massive economic disruption

Your strategy: Aggressive repositioning, build anti-fragile career

Scenario C: Explosive Intelligence (Altman is optimistic)

- AI breakthroughs accelerate exponentially - 2-5 year timeline to AGI - Complete professional landscape reset

Your strategy: Maximum flexibility, multiple income streams, philosophical preparation