Chapter 20

The Exponential Curve No One's Prepared For

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Linear thinking will kill your career. Here's why:

2020: GPT-3 could write basic emails 2022: ChatGPT passed the bar exam 2023: GPT-4 scored in the 90th percentile on most standardized tests 2024: AI agents autonomously complete complex multi-step tasks 2025: [You are here] 2027: Predicted AI capability in specialized fields exceeds human experts 2030: Altman's "Intelligence Age" fully realized

The gap between each breakthrough is shrinking. What took decades now takes months. What takes months will soon take weeks.

Real-world impact: A financial analyst in Manhattan shared this: "In 2022, I used ChatGPT to draft emails. By 2023, it was analyzing portfolios. Last month, our firm's AI made investment recommendations that outperformed our senior team. I'm not worried about 2030—I'm worried about next quarter."